Genetic Genealogy · Illustrative Model

Where Did the DNA Go?

A hypothetical descent from a couple married circa 1800 — one Native American, one of mixed African and European descent — traced to two living siblings and three first cousins in 2026. The family story survives eight generations. The DNA, on average, does not.

01 — The Founding Couple, c. 1800Gen 0

Ancestor A

b. c. 1800
100% Native American
+

Ancestor B

b. c. 1800
50% African 50% European

Their children carry, on average, 50% Native American, 25% African, and 25% European ancestry — the full starting bundle passed to the next generation.

02 — The Dilution LadderAverage, assuming each spouse marries in from outside the line

Every generation, the bundle is cut in half

Each row assumes 6–8 children per couple and marriage to an unrelated spouse each generation — the standard model used to estimate expected autosomal DNA. Native American ancestry (rust) is tracked in full; African and European (gold/teal) dilute the same way.

c. 1830
Children
50%
c. 1858
Grandchildren
25%
c. 1886
Great-grandchildren
12.5%
c. 1914
2nd great
6.25%
c. 1942
3rd great
3.13%
c. 1970
4th great
1.56%
↑ most consumer DNA tests reliably detect down to about 0.5–1%
c. 1998
5th great
0.78%
2026
6th great (living)
0.39%
03 — Two Siblings, Three First Cousins2026 · both lines average 0.39% NA

The average is not the individual

Inheritance isn't a smooth halving — it's a random reshuffle (recombination) every generation. Two full siblings, descended from the same parents, can inherit very different actual segments. First cousins diverge even more. Below is one plausible outcome for five living descendants who all carry the identical average expectation of 0.39% Native American ancestry.

Common grandparent — 4th great-grandchild of Ancestor A & B

Sibling 1

Expected0.39%
Test result0.0%
No NA segments inherited

Sibling 2

Expected0.39%
Test result0.6%
Detected — near floor
— first cousins, via a sibling of that grandparent —

Cousin 1

Expected0.39%
Test result0.0%
No NA segments inherited

Cousin 2

Expected0.39%
Test result0.3%
Below most report floors

Cousin 3

Expected0.39%
Test result1.1%
Clearly detected
04 — Reading a "No Match"Four honest explanations
1

The lore may not be accurate

Oral history can preserve a real relationship in distorted form, absorb an unrelated tradition, or, occasionally, simply be wrong. A DNA result is one more piece of evidence to weigh against the documentary record — not an automatic override of it.

2

The generation count may be off

A "great-grandmother" remembered across generations of retelling is very often a 4th or 5th great-grandmother in the paper trail. Each additional generation halves the expected DNA again — the difference between a strong signal and none at all.

3

The ancestor is simply too far back

By six to eight generations, the average expected share of any single ancestor's DNA — as modeled above — falls below what most consumer tests reliably report, even when the relationship is completely accurate.

4

A sibling or cousin inherited it instead

Because recombination is random, it's entirely possible to inherit zero detectable DNA from a specific ancestor while a full sibling or first cousin inherits a measurable trace — as shown in Section 03. A negative result for one person is not a negative result for the family line.